ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Van de Zandschulp vs Jodar: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1h 11mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Botic Van de Zandschulp35%
Rafael Jodar65%
Elo: B. Van de Zandschulp 38% · R. Jodar 62%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 B. Van de Zandschulp21%
2:1 B. Van de Zandschulp16%
2:1 R. Jodar22%
2:0 R. Jodar41%
First set
Botic Van de Zandschulp40%
Rafael Jodar61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 5,413 matches
Games handicap
Rafael Jodar −2.553%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes42%
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| B. Van de Zandschulp | Tour | R. Jodar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.57 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.36 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 23% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 23/37 | 12/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 83 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Botic Van de Zandschulp
- 12/10/26WArthur Fils#11ATP Shanghai · R327:5 6:4
- 10/10/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:4
- 08/10/26WDaniel Merida#44ATP Shanghai · R1281:6 6:3 6:4
- 01/10/26LFrancisco Cerúndolo#20ATP Beijing · R327:5 4:6 3:6
- 29/09/26WJie Cui#420ATP Beijing · Q26:4 6:4
- 28/09/26WValentin Royer#105ATP Beijing · Q14:6 6:2 6:4
- 25/09/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Chengdu · R164:6 5:7
- 10/09/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP US Open · QF2:6 5:7 1:6
- 07/09/26WArthur Gea#56ATP US Open · R163:6 6:7 7:6 7:6 6:4
- 05/09/26WZizou Bergs#39ATP US Open · R323:6 7:6 4:6 7:6 6:3
Rafael Jodar
- 12/10/26WJiří Lehečka#16ATP Shanghai · R324:6 7:6 6:4
- 10/10/26WThiago Agustin Tirante#54ATP Shanghai · R644:6 6:2 6:3
- 01/10/26LAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#52ATP Tokyo · R321:6 3:6
- 02/09/26LYunchaokete Bu#93ATP US Open · R1282:6 1:6 1:6
- 19/08/26LFlavio Cobolli#7ATP Cincinnati · R166:4 6:7 3:6
- 17/08/26WAlejandro Tabilo#30ATP Cincinnati · R326:2 6:1
- 15/08/26WDenis Shapovalov#42ATP Cincinnati · R647:5 4:6 7:5
- 12/08/26LBrandon Nakashima#19ATP Montreal · SF6:7 4:6
- 11/08/26WArthur Fils#11ATP Montreal · QF7:6 6:3
- 09/08/26WJiří Lehečka#16ATP Montreal · R166:3 6:3
Elo over the last year
Botic Van de ZandschulpRafael Jodar
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| B. Van de Zandschulp | R. Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 25–1858% | 43–1475% |
| Clay | 7–750% | 19–483% |
| Grass | 2–340% | 2–167% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Botic Van de Zandschulp
- 08/10/26WDaniel Merida#44ATP Shanghai · R1281:6 6:3 6:4
- 10/10/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:4
- 12/10/26WArthur Fils#11ATP Shanghai · R327:5 6:4
Rafael Jodar
- 10/10/26WThiago Agustin Tirante#54ATP Shanghai · R644:6 6:2 6:3
- 12/10/26WJiří Lehečka#16ATP Shanghai · R324:6 7:6 6:4