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Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Xilas vs Fomin: prediction and tips

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Ioannis XilasATP #502Elo 1496hard 1528
-:-
Sergey FominATP #293Elo 1471hard 1470

Our tips

Tip in 1d 12h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Ioannis Xilas67%
Sergey Fomin33%

Elo: I. Xilas 58% · S. Fomin 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 I. Xilas44%
2:1 I. Xilas22%
2:1 S. Fomin15%
2:0 S. Fomin19%

First set

Ioannis Xilas62%
Sergey Fomin38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%30%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.544%57%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 5,469 matches

Games handicap

I. Xilas −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

I. XilasTourS. Fomin
Service points won59%62%60%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held67%76%72%
Breaks of serve28%24%25%
Aces per service game0.140.43
Double faults per game0.240.32
Sets with a tie-break9%14%
Tie-breaks won2/47/15
Wins in straight sets88%52%
Matches in the sample2044

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ioannis Xilas

Sergey Fomin

  • 27/10/26LLiam Broady#212Challenger Ningbo · R327:5 6:7 2:6
  • 20/10/26LTristan Schoolkate#143Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R322:6 6:4 4:6
  • 05/10/26LTimofei Derepasko#614Challenger Wuning 3 · R322:6 6:7
  • 16/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R323:6 1:6
  • 08/09/26LYi Zhou#281Challenger Shanghai · R326:7 5:7
  • 01/09/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#411Challenger Zhangjiagang · R325:7 0:6
  • 15/08/26LAziz Dougaz#380Challenger Astana · SF6:4 1:6 5:7
  • 14/08/26WMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Astana · QF6:2 6:1
  • 13/08/26WKasidit Samrej#409Challenger Astana · R166:1 6:4
  • 11/08/26WMaxim Zhukov#821Challenger Astana · R327:5 4:1

Elo over the last year

Ioannis XilasSergey Fomin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

I. XilasS. Fomin
Hard court7–654%13–1645%
Clay1–614%8–753%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also