Zhang vs Sakamoto 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 65%
Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Zhang 15 of 20, Sakamoto 13 of 20 (tour average 54%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: SakamotoWon66%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Sakamoto won 7 of the last 10 matches; Zhang lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: market alone 30% → with the players' profiles 34%
Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Zhang 8 of 20, Sakamoto 7 of 20 (tour average 27%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Z. Zhang 28% · R. Sakamoto 72%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 26% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 53% | 47% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,481 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 22.5out · 16 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Zhizhen Zhang | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 6 |
| 3 | Double faults | 0 |
| 60% | First serves in | 60% |
| 75% | First-serve points won | 88% |
| 25% | Second-serve points won | 71% |
| 0/1 | Break points converted | 4/8 |
| 4/8 | Service games held | 8/8 |
| 55% | Service points won | 81% |
| 19% | Return points won | 45% |
| 30 | Total points won | 52 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Z. Zhang | Tour | R. Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 34% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 17% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.71 | 0.68 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 28% | 23% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/30 | 19/42 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 45 | 74 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Zhizhen Zhang
- 26/10/26WMarin Cilic#96Challenger Seoul · R327:6 2:6 6:3
- 21/10/26LYi Zhou#256Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R163:6 4:6
- 20/10/26WKaichi Uchida#420Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R327:6 6:3
- 07/10/26LTomáš Macháč#71ATP Shanghai · R1286:1 6:7 2:6
- 30/09/26LArthur Gea#44ATP Beijing · R324:6 3:6
- 24/09/26LColeman Wong#87ATP Hangzhou · R323:6 3:6
- 29/07/26LJeffrey John Wolf#210Challenger Vancouver · R326:7 6:3 4:6
- 22/07/26LCharles Broom#268Challenger Winnipeg · R166:2 6:7 2:6
- 21/07/26WTyler Zink#442Challenger Winnipeg · R327:6 6:3
- 13/07/26LJustin Boulais#428Challenger Granby · R322:6 6:7
Rei Sakamoto
- 26/10/26WKasidit Samrej#368Challenger Seoul · R326:3 6:4
- 20/10/26LKaren Khachanov#24ATP Almaty · R322:6 4:6
- 18/10/26WGabriel Diallo#149ATP Almaty · Q22:6 6:4 6:4
- 17/10/26WAmir Omarkhanov#622ATP Almaty · Q16:2 6:1
- 11/10/26LAlex de Minaur#10ATP Shanghai · R326:7 4:6
- 09/10/26WAndrey Rublev#22ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:4
- 07/10/26WMarco Trungelliti#89ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 7:5
- 06/10/26WKyrian Jacquet#79ATP Shanghai · Q27:6 4:6 7:6
- 05/10/26WSeongchan HongATP Shanghai · Q16:3 7:5
- 30/09/26LMatteo Arnaldi#36ATP Tokyo · R326:2 4:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Z. Zhang | R. Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–1341% | 37–1867% |
| Clay | 3–730% | 9–660% |
| Grass | 9–469% | 2–250% |
Head to head
Z. Zhang 1–0 R. Sakamoto
- 14/02/26Winner: Z. Zhang6:1 6:4
Road through the tournament
Zhizhen Zhang
- 26/10/26WMarin Cilic#96Challenger Seoul · R327:6 2:6 6:3
Rei Sakamoto
- 26/10/26WKasidit Samrej#368Challenger Seoul · R326:3 6:4