WTA BeijingWTA 1000Finalhardbest of three sets

Zheng vs Andreeva 2:0: result and our tips

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Qinwen ZhengWTA #23Elo 2048hard 2059
2:0final7:5 6:4
Mirra AndreevaWTA #3Elo 2123hard 2083

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zheng: 11 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: AndreevaLost63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Andreeva won 8 of the last 10 matches; Andreeva: 5 wins in a row

  • 1st Set Winner: AndreevaLost58%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Andreeva: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Long shot
1st Set Winner: ZhengWon42%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zheng: 7 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Qinwen Zheng37%
Mirra Andreeva63%

Elo: Q. Zheng 47% · M. Andreeva 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Q. Zheng23%
2:1 Q. Zheng16%
2:1 M. Andreeva22%
2:0 M. Andreeva39%

First set

Qinwen Zheng42%
Mirra Andreeva58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,309 matches

Games handicap

Mirra Andreeva −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Qinwen ZhengMirra Andreeva
4Aces7
2Double faults0
38%First serves in71%
73%First-serve points won60%
64%Second-serve points won46%
4/8Break points converted2/6
9/11Service games held7/11
67%Service points won56%
44%Return points won33%
72Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Q. ZhengTourM. Andreeva
Service points won62%56%61%
Return points won40%44%47%
Service games held77%63%74%
Breaks of serve27%37%43%
Aces per service game0.660.29
Double faults per game0.390.35
Sets with a tie-break10%12%
Tie-breaks won7/1011/19
Wins in straight sets38%74%
Matches in the sample3866

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Qinwen Zheng

Mirra Andreeva

Elo over the last year

Qinwen ZhengMirra Andreeva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Q. ZhengM. Andreeva
Hard court19–773%27–1171%
Clay3–350%22–388%
Grass2–433%1–233%

Head to head

Q. Zheng 1–0 M. Andreeva

  • 04/10/24Winner: Qinwen Zheng5:7 6:0 6:4

Road through the tournament

Qinwen Zheng

Mirra Andreeva

See also