Primera LPFMatchday 13

Barracas Central 1-2 Sarmiento Junin: prediction, tips and result

Thursday 2 April · 19:00

Barracas Central

2-1 1-1 2-1 2-1 0-0

1-2Full time(half time 0-2)

Sarmiento Junin

2-0 0-2 0-0 1-0 1-3

Stadium:: Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia, Barracas
Referee:: Ariel Penel

Our tips

Main tip

Corners: Under 8.5Won58%

5.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.3 in the visitors', league average 8.5; under 8.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (49% of league matches)

For the brave

Corners: Under 7.5Won45%

5.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.3 in the visitors', league average 8.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%O2.534%|exp. goals 1.2 : 0.9both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

20/09/202520/09/25Barracas Central0:1Sarmiento JuninL
09/03/202509/03/25Sarmiento Junin1:1Barracas CentralD
19/05/202419/05/24Barracas Central1:1Sarmiento JuninD
04/02/202304/02/23Sarmiento Junin3:5Barracas CentralW
08/10/202208/10/22Barracas Central1:1Sarmiento JuninD

Barracas Central's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match

Cornersleague corners8.1league 8.5under 8.5: 58%Expected corners: 8.1 in this match, 8.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 6

Cardsleague cards5.4league 5.2under 5.5: 54%Expected cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 3

RefereeA. Penel−0.1 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Attack/defence1.2 : 0.9total 2.1

Barracas Central : Sarmiento Junin

Most likely scores

Attack/defence1-015%1-114%0-013%0-111%2-09%2-18%

Attack/defence1-01-015%1-11-114%0-00-013%0-10-111%2-02-09%2-12-18%

Attack vs defence

Barracas Central attack vs Sarmiento Junin defenceattack1478defence14780 pts to the attack

Sarmiento Junin attack vs Barracas Central defenceattack1422defence1457−35 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Sarmiento Junin matches average 6.9 cards (league 5.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
Barracas Central matches average only 5.6 corners (league 8.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
Barracas Central: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Barracas Central: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Sarmiento Junin: 11 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form