Primera LPFMatchday 13
Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 5d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%47%O2.533%41%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Barracas Central1:2Sarmiento JuninW
- Barracas Central0:1Sarmiento JuninW
- Sarmiento Junin1:1Barracas CentralD
- Barracas Central1:1Sarmiento JuninD
- Sarmiento Junin3:5Barracas CentralL
Sarmiento Junin's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.8over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.8over 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 0.9total 2.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Sarmiento Junin : Barracas CentralMost likely scores
Market1-015%0-014%1-114%0-110%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-012%0-010%1-114%0-110%2-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-012%0-00-014%0-010%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-110%0-110%2-02-09%2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 85%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%71% | 71% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67%59% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: no | 59%53% | 53% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%58% | 58% |
| 1 – Sarmiento Junin win | 42%42% · Elo 42% | 42%· Elo 42% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41%47% | 47% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 39%33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33%41% | 41% |
| X – draw | 32%29% · Elo 31% | 29%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Barracas Central win | 26%29% · Elo 28% | 29%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Sarmiento Junin attack vs Barracas Central defenceattack1476defence1497−21 pts to the attack
Barracas Central attack vs Sarmiento Junin defenceattack1459defence1445+14 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.570%63%
7.557%52%
8.544%40%
9.532%30%
Each team on its own
Sarmiento Juninwe expect 4.7, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Barracas Centralwe expect 3.6, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 22.3 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.554%56%
22.547%50%
23.540%45%
24.533%37%
Each team on its own
Sarmiento Juninwe expect 10.7, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 50%
Barracas Centralwe expect 11.6, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 48%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.559%65%
3.537%41%
4.520%26%
5.510%14%
Each team on its own
Sarmiento Juninwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Barracas Centralwe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Barracas Central: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Sarmiento Junin: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Sarmiento Junin: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Barracas Central: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:9 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Sarmiento Junin win 42%, draw 32%, Barracas Central win 26%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central?
Expected goals: 2.1 (Sarmiento Junin 1.2, Barracas Central 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 33%. Most likely score: 1-0.
Will both teams score in Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central?
The chance that both teams score is 41%.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 19 October 2026, 23:00 (UK time).