Primera LPFMatchday 12

Barracas Central 2-0 Huracan: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia, Barracas
Referee:
Hernan Mastrangelo

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won73%

under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:0Lost18%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBarracas Central157629%31%Draw34%31%Huracan164137%38%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS37%41%O2.528%33%|exp. goals 1.1 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Huracan0:0Barracas CentralD
  2. Barracas Central1:1HuracanD
  3. Huracan0:1Barracas CentralW
  4. Barracas Central0:2HuracanL
  5. Huracan2:0Barracas CentralL
Barracas Central's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.8under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.8over 4.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 3
RefereeH. Mastrangelo−0.2 yellow cards vs average17 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)79%1X0:1coverageleague 83% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 1.0total 1.8Attack/defence1.1 : 0.9total 2.0
Barracas Central : Huracan
Most likely scores
Market0-017%0-115%1-114%1-012%0-28%2-0—2-1—Attack/defence0-014%0-112%1-114%1-014%0-2—2-08%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-017%0-014%0-10-115%0-112%1-11-114%1-114%1-01-012%1-014%0-20-28%0-2—2-02-0—2-08%2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals88%85%85%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals72%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat71%62%62%
12 – no draw66%69%69%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%70%70%
Both teams to score: no63%59%59%
Over 1.5 goals56%60%60%
Under 1.5 goals44%40%40%
2 – Huracan win37%30% · Elo 38%30%· Elo 38%
Both teams to score: yes37%41%41%
X – draw34%31% · Elo 31%31%· Elo 31%
1 – Barracas Central win29%38% · Elo 31%38%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals28%33%33%
Over 3.5 goals12%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Barracas Central attack vs Huracan defenceattack1454defence1565−111 pts to the attack
Huracan attack vs Barracas Central defenceattack1457defence1491−34 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 8.1 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.569%63%
7.556%51%
8.542%40%
9.530%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Barracas Centralwe expect 4.7, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Huracanwe expect 3.5, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 23.2 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.560%55%
22.553%50%
23.546%45%
24.539%37%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Barracas Centralwe expect 11.3, league average 11.0 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
Huracanwe expect 11.3, league average 11.7 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Referee: 24.4 fouls per match on average (12 matches in our data)+1.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 47%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.573%65%
3.553%41%
4.534%26%
5.519%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Barracas Centralwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Huracanwe expect 2.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 64%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Barracas Central: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Barracas Central score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Barracas Central: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Huracan: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Huracan1254311:1019
7Barracas Central1253410:918
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Barracas Central vs Huracan?

Barracas Central 2-0 Huracan (half time 1-0).

Did the Barracas Central vs Huracan tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.