Primera LPFMatchday 11

Huracan 1-0 Aldosivi: prediction, tips and result

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Huracan
0-01-11-12-12-1
1-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Aldosivi
1-03-43-11-21-3
Stadium:
Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Nazareno Arasa

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Offsides – Aldosivi: Over 1.5Won61%

our numbers for Aldosivi: 2.1 offsides against a league average of 1.7; Aldosivi: 1.9 offsides a match, Huracan's opponents were caught offside 2.5 times on average, league average 1.7

Other tips

  • Fouls: Under 22.5Won66%

    our numbers: 20.6 fouls against a league average of 22.7

  • Shots on Target: Over 7.5Won57%

    8.3 shots on target a match in the hosts' matches, 8.9 in the visitors', league average 7.8

For the brave
Offsides – Aldosivi: Over 2.5Lost35%

Aldosivi: over 2.5 offsides in 4 of their last 10 league matches, Huracan's opponents were caught offside over 2.5 times in 5 of 10 (24% of league matches); 1.9 offsides a match, Huracan's opponents were caught offside 2.5 times on average, league average 1.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHuracan164155%58%Draw28%26%Aldosivi148918%17%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%42%O2.538%39%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Aldosivi0:0HuracanD
  2. Aldosivi2:0HuracanL
  3. Huracan3:3AldosiviD
  4. Aldosivi0:1HuracanW
  5. Huracan2:0AldosiviW
Huracan's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.7over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.1under 5.5: 61%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 7
RefereeN. Arasa+0.1 cards vs average25 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%BTTS no1:1coverageleague 72% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.7total 2.2Attack/defence1.5 : 0.8total 2.2
Huracan : Aldosivi
Most likely scores
Market1-016%1-113%2-012%0-012%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-015%1-112%2-012%0-011%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-015%1-11-113%1-112%2-02-012%2-012%0-00-012%0-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat83%81%81%
Under 3.5 goals82%81%81%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals65%66%66%
Under 2.5 goals62%61%61%
Both teams to score: no60%58%58%
1 – Huracan win55%53% · Elo 58%53%· Elo 58%
X2 – away team avoid defeat46%47%47%
Both teams to score: yes40%42%42%
Over 2.5 goals38%39%39%
Under 1.5 goals35%34%34%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
2 – Aldosivi win18%19% · Elo 17%19%· Elo 17%
Over 3.5 goals18%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Huracan attack vs Aldosivi defenceattack1461defence1398+63 pts to the attack
Aldosivi attack vs Huracan defenceattack1430defence1562−132 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 8.2 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.570%61%
7.557%51%
8.544%39%
9.532%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Huracanwe expect 4.7, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Aldosiviwe expect 3.8, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 20.6 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.541%56%
22.535%51%
23.528%46%
24.523%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Huracanwe expect 9.6, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Aldosiviwe expect 11.7, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 50%
Referee: 22.0 fouls per match on average (24 matches in our data)−1.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.567%65%
3.546%41%
4.527%26%
5.514%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Huracanwe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Aldosiviwe expect 2.1, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 61%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Aldosivi matches average 10.7 corners (league 8.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Huracan: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Aldosivi: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Huracan

Aldosivi

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Huracan1254311:1019
14Aldosivi1222813:208
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Huracan vs Aldosivi?

Huracan 1-0 Aldosivi (half time 1-0).

Did the Huracan vs Aldosivi tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Offsides – Aldosivi: Over 1.5. The tip won.

See also