Primera LPFMatchday 10

Aldosivi 1-0 Atl. Tucuman: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata
Referee:
Sebastian Zunino

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Lost59%

referee Sebastian Zunino averages 5.9 cards a match, league average 5.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAldosivi148928%32%Draw32%31%Atl. Tucuman156640%37%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%48%O2.533%42%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Atl. Tucuman1:1AldosiviD
  2. Aldosivi0:1Atl. TucumanL
  3. Atl. Tucuman2:2AldosiviD
  4. Aldosivi3:0Atl. TucumanW
  5. Atl. Tucuman1:0AldosiviL
Aldosivi's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 8.7under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.2league 5.1over 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 29%.lost · ended 1
RefereeS. Zunino+0.7 cards vs average23 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.1total 2.0Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
Aldosivi : Atl. Tucuman
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-014%0-114%1-011%0-28%2-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-114%0-010%0-111%1-011%0-2—2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-00-014%0-010%0-10-114%0-111%1-01-011%1-011%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals85%79%79%
X2 – away team avoid defeat72%64%64%
12 – no draw68%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals67%58%58%
Over 1.5 goals61%68%68%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%65%65%
Both teams to score: no59%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes41%48%48%
2 – Atl. Tucuman win40%35% · Elo 37%35%· Elo 37%
Under 1.5 goals39%32%32%
Over 2.5 goals33%42%42%
X – draw32%29% · Elo 31%29%· Elo 31%
1 – Aldosivi win28%37% · Elo 32%37%· Elo 32%
Over 3.5 goals15%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Aldosivi attack vs Atl. Tucuman defenceattack1432defence1480−48 pts to the attack
Atl. Tucuman attack vs Aldosivi defenceattack1486defence1391+95 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Atl. Tucuman matches average only 3.8 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Atl. Tucuman concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Aldosivi matches average 11.0 corners (league 8.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Atl. Tucuman score a lot late on: 6 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Aldosivi: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Atl. Tucuman: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Atl. Tucuman1235410:1014
14Aldosivi1222813:208
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Aldosivi vs Atl. Tucuman?

Aldosivi 1-0 Atl. Tucuman (half time 0-0).

Did the Aldosivi vs Atl. Tucuman tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip lost.