Primera LPFMatchday 5

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-1 Atl. Tucuman: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Antonio Candini, Rio Cuarto
Referee:
Fernando Espinoza

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won62%

under 5.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (60% of league matches); 4.1 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.1 in the visitors', league average 5.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost46%

under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches); 4.1 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.1 in the visitors', league average 5.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloEstudiantes Rio Cuarto147826%35%Draw33%31%Atl. Tucuman156641%34%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS38%44%O2.530%37%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Atl. Tucuman4:0Estudiantes Rio CuartoL
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.7over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.1under 5.5: 62%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 5
RefereeF. Espinoza+0.2 cards vs average4 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 1.1total 1.9Attack/defence1.1 : 1.1total 2.2
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto : Atl. Tucuman
Most likely scores
Market0-016%0-115%1-114%1-011%0-29%1-2—2-1—Attack/defence0-012%0-112%1-114%1-012%0-2—1-27%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-016%0-012%0-10-115%0-112%1-11-114%1-114%1-01-011%1-012%0-20-29%0-2—1-21-2—1-27%2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals87%82%82%
X2 – away team avoid defeat74%66%66%
Under 2.5 goals70%63%63%
12 – no draw67%70%70%
Both teams to score: no62%56%56%
1X – home team avoid defeat59%64%64%
Over 1.5 goals58%64%64%
Under 1.5 goals42%36%36%
2 – Atl. Tucuman win41%36% · Elo 34%36%· Elo 34%
Both teams to score: yes38%44%44%
X – draw33%30% · Elo 31%30%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals30%37%37%
1 – Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win26%34% · Elo 35%34%· Elo 35%
Over 3.5 goals13%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto attack vs Atl. Tucuman defenceattack1374defence1458−84 pts to the attack
Atl. Tucuman attack vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto defenceattack1506defence1418+88 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Atl. Tucuman: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Estudiantes Rio Cuarto score only 0.4 goals per game
  • Atl. Tucuman concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Atl. Tucuman score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: newly promoted
  • Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Atl. Tucuman: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Atl. Tucuman1235410:1014
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121386:166
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Atl. Tucuman?

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-1 Atl. Tucuman (half time 0-0).

Did the Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Atl. Tucuman tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.