Primera LPFMatchday 9

Atl. Tucuman 1-2 River Plate: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, San Miguel de Tucuman
Referee:
Andres Gariano

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won67%

under 5.5 cards in 10 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:1Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAtl. Tucuman156623%28%Draw31%31%River Plate171246%41%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%49%O2.536%43%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. River Plate0:1Atl. TucumanW
  2. Atl. Tucuman2:0River PlateW
  3. River Plate1:0Atl. TucumanL
  4. River Plate4:1Atl. TucumanL
  5. Atl. Tucuman1:1River PlateD
Atl. Tucuman's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.7under 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.1under 5.5: 67%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 5
RefereeA. Gariano−0.7 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 1.3total 2.1Attack/defence1.1 : 1.3total 2.4
Atl. Tucuman : River Plate
Most likely scores
Market0-114%1-114%0-013%0-210%1-09%1-2—2-1—Attack/defence0-111%1-113%0-010%0-2—1-010%1-28%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence0-10-114%0-111%1-11-114%1-113%0-00-013%0-010%0-20-210%0-2—1-01-09%1-010%1-21-2—1-28%2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals83%78%78%
X2 – away team avoid defeat77%67%67%
12 – no draw69%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals64%69%69%
Under 2.5 goals64%57%57%
Both teams to score: no58%51%51%
1X – home team avoid defeat54%61%61%
2 – River Plate win46%39% · Elo 41%39%· Elo 41%
Both teams to score: yes42%49%49%
Under 1.5 goals36%31%31%
Over 2.5 goals36%43%43%
X – draw31%28% · Elo 31%28%· Elo 31%
1 – Atl. Tucuman win23%33% · Elo 28%33%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals17%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Atl. Tucuman attack vs River Plate defenceattack1492defence1564−72 pts to the attack
River Plate attack vs Atl. Tucuman defenceattack1630defence1482+148 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Atl. Tucuman matches average only 3.7 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Atl. Tucuman: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Atl. Tucuman concede only 0.4 goals per game
  • River Plate: only 13 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Atl. Tucuman: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • River Plate: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9River Plate1151514:1216
10Atl. Tucuman1235410:1014
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Atl. Tucuman vs River Plate?

Atl. Tucuman 1-2 River Plate (half time 0-1).

Did the Atl. Tucuman vs River Plate tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.