Primera LPFMatchday 8

River Plate 3-1 Ind. Rivadavia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Nicolas Ramirez

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost58%

under 5.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost15%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRiver Plate171255%39%Draw27%31%Ind. Rivadavia170218%30%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%49%O2.540%46%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Ind. Rivadavia1:1River PlateD
  2. Ind. Rivadavia2:1River PlateL
River Plate's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.7over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 2
Cardsleague cards5.2league 5.1under 5.5: 58%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 7
RefereeN. Ramirez+0.6 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.7total 2.2Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
River Plate : Ind. Rivadavia
Most likely scores
Market1-015%1-113%2-012%0-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-012%1-112%2-010%0-08%2-19%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-012%1-11-113%1-112%2-02-012%2-010%0-00-011%0-08%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%78%78%
Under 3.5 goals80%76%76%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals67%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals60%54%54%
Both teams to score: no58%51%51%
1 – River Plate win55%52% · Elo 39%52%· Elo 39%
X2 – away team avoid defeat45%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes42%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals40%46%46%
Under 1.5 goals33%29%29%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 31%26%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals20%24%24%
2 – Ind. Rivadavia win18%22% · Elo 30%22%· Elo 30%
Attack vs defence
River Plate attack vs Ind. Rivadavia defenceattack1622defence1500+122 pts to the attack
Ind. Rivadavia attack vs River Plate defenceattack1552defence1561−9 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • River Plate: only 13 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • River Plate: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Ind. Rivadavia: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Ind. Rivadavia1253415:1918
9River Plate1151514:1216
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of River Plate vs Ind. Rivadavia?

River Plate 3-1 Ind. Rivadavia (half time 1-0).

Did the River Plate vs Ind. Rivadavia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.