Primera LPFMatchday 9

Ind. Rivadavia 4-3 Aldosivi: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza
Referee:
Dario Herrera

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won59%

under 5.5 cards in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches); 3.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.8 in the visitors', league average 5.1

Other tips

  • Match Result: Ind. RivadaviaWon67%

    Ind. Rivadavia: won 7 of their last 10 league matches at home

  • Corners: Over 8.5Won55%

    9.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.0 in the visitors', league average 8.7; over 8.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (51% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloInd. Rivadavia170267%65%Draw21%22%Aldosivi148912%13%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%46%O2.548%46%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
  1. Aldosivi1:1Ind. RivadaviaD
  2. Aldosivi3:1Ind. RivadaviaL
  3. Ind. Rivadavia1:0AldosiviW
Ind. Rivadavia's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss2.3 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 8.7over 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.2league 5.1under 5.5: 59%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 36%.won · ended 5
RefereeD. Herrera+0.6 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 0.7total 2.6Attack/defence1.7 : 0.8total 2.5
Ind. Rivadavia : Aldosivi
Most likely scores
Market2-014%1-014%1-110%2-19%3-09%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence2-011%1-013%1-112%2-110%3-0—0-09%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-014%2-011%1-01-014%1-013%1-11-110%1-112%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-09%3-0—0-00-0—0-09%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat88%82%82%
12 – no draw79%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals74%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals74%76%76%
1 – Ind. Rivadavia win67%57% · Elo 65%57%· Elo 65%
Both teams to score: no58%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals52%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals48%46%46%
Both teams to score: yes42%46%46%
X2 – away team avoid defeat33%43%43%
Under 1.5 goals26%29%29%
Over 3.5 goals26%24%24%
X – draw21%25% · Elo 22%25%· Elo 22%
2 – Aldosivi win12%18% · Elo 13%18%· Elo 13%
Attack vs defence
Ind. Rivadavia attack vs Aldosivi defenceattack1551defence1401+150 pts to the attack
Aldosivi attack vs Ind. Rivadavia defenceattack1420defence1492−72 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Ind. Rivadavia matches average only 3.8 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Aldosivi matches average 11.0 corners (league 8.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Ind. Rivadavia: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Aldosivi: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Ind. Rivadavia1253415:1918
14Aldosivi1222813:208
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Ind. Rivadavia vs Aldosivi?

Ind. Rivadavia 4-3 Aldosivi (half time 3-1).

Did the Ind. Rivadavia vs Aldosivi tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.