Primera LPFMatchday 4

Rosario Central 2-1 Aldosivi: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre, Rosario
Referee:
Pablo Echavarria

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Rosario CentralWon64%

Aldosivi: winless in their last 19 league matches

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 5.5Won63%

    referee Pablo Echavarria averages 4.1 cards a match, league average 5.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost18%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRosario Central176164%70%Draw24%20%Aldosivi148912%11%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS33%40%O2.536%40%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Aldosivi1:1Rosario CentralD
  2. Aldosivi2:1Rosario CentralL
  3. Rosario Central1:2AldosiviL
  4. Rosario Central5:1AldosiviW
  5. Rosario Central0:0AldosiviD
Rosario Central's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.6over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 1
RefereeP. Echavarria−0.8 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.5total 2.1Attack/defence1.6 : 0.7total 2.3
Rosario Central : Aldosivi
Most likely scores
Market1-018%2-015%0-013%1-111%2-1—3-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-016%2-013%0-011%1-112%2-19%3-0—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-018%1-016%2-02-015%2-013%0-00-013%0-011%1-11-111%1-112%2-12-1—2-19%3-03-08%3-0—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat88%84%84%
Under 3.5 goals83%81%81%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Both teams to score: no67%60%60%
Our tip: 1 – Rosario Central win64%58% · Elo 70%58%· Elo 70%
Over 1.5 goals64%66%66%
Under 2.5 goals64%61%61%
X2 – away team avoid defeat36%42%42%
Under 1.5 goals36%34%34%
Over 2.5 goals36%40%40%
Both teams to score: yes33%40%40%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 20%26%· Elo 20%
Over 3.5 goals17%19%19%
2 – Aldosivi win12%16% · Elo 11%16%· Elo 11%
Attack vs defence
Rosario Central attack vs Aldosivi defenceattack1547defence1422+125 pts to the attack
Aldosivi attack vs Rosario Central defenceattack1407defence1569−162 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Aldosivi: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Aldosivi score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Aldosivi: no win in 19 matches
  • Aldosivi: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Rosario Central: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Aldosivi: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Rosario Central1264217:922
14Aldosivi1222813:208
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Rosario Central vs Aldosivi?

Rosario Central 2-1 Aldosivi (half time 0-0).

Did the Rosario Central vs Aldosivi tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Rosario Central. The tip won.