Primera LPFMatchday 8

Aldosivi 3-1 Banfield: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata
Referee:
Sebastian Nicolas Martinez

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost61%

4.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.8 in the visitors', league average 5.1; under 5.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 10 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost44%

4.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.8 in the visitors', league average 5.1; under 4.5 cards in 3 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 10 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAldosivi148935%35%Draw31%31%Banfield154633%34%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%48%O2.536%41%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Banfield2:0AldosiviL
  2. Banfield0:1AldosiviW
  3. Aldosivi2:1BanfieldW
  4. Aldosivi0:1BanfieldL
  5. Banfield0:2AldosiviW
Aldosivi's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.7over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.1under 5.5: 61%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 8
RefereeS. Nicolas Martinez+0.7 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.1total 2.2Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.3
Aldosivi : Banfield
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-013%1-012%0-111%2-17%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%0-010%1-012%0-110%2-18%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-00-013%0-010%1-01-012%1-012%0-10-111%0-110%2-12-17%2-18%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals83%79%79%
12 – no draw68%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%60%60%
Over 1.5 goals64%68%68%
Under 2.5 goals64%59%59%
Both teams to score: no56%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes44%48%48%
Under 1.5 goals36%32%32%
Over 2.5 goals36%41%41%
1 – Aldosivi win35%41% · Elo 35%41%· Elo 35%
2 – Banfield win33%31% · Elo 34%31%· Elo 34%
X – draw31%29% · Elo 31%29%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals17%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Aldosivi attack vs Banfield defenceattack1410defence1406+4 pts to the attack
Banfield attack vs Aldosivi defenceattack1472defence1405+67 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Banfield matches average only 2.8 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Aldosivi: no win in 23 matches
  • Aldosivi: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Aldosivi: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Banfield: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Banfield1234514:1813
14Aldosivi1222813:208
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Aldosivi vs Banfield?

Aldosivi 3-1 Banfield (half time 2-0).

Did the Aldosivi vs Banfield tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.