Primera LPFMatchday 6

Newells Old Boys 2-1 Banfield: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Referee:
Felipe Viola

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won65%

under 5.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (60% of league matches); 5.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.4 in the visitors', league average 5.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won49%

under 4.5 cards in 3 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches); 5.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.4 in the visitors', league average 5.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNewells Old Boys157642%42%Draw31%31%Banfield154627%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%47%O2.538%41%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Banfield3:0Newells Old BoysL
  2. Newells Old Boys1:2BanfieldL
  3. Banfield3:0Newells Old BoysL
  4. Banfield2:0Newells Old BoysL
  5. Newells Old Boys2:0BanfieldW
Newells Old Boys's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.7over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 4
RefereeF. Viola−0.7 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 0.9total 2.2Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Newells Old Boys : Banfield
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-013%0-012%0-19%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-010%0-19%2-09%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-013%1-012%0-00-012%0-010%0-10-19%0-19%2-02-09%2-09%2-12-1—2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals82%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%72%72%
12 – no draw69%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals66%68%68%
Under 2.5 goals62%59%59%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%56%56%
Both teams to score: no55%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes45%47%47%
1 – Newells Old Boys win42%44% · Elo 42%44%· Elo 42%
Over 2.5 goals38%41%41%
Under 1.5 goals34%32%32%
X – draw31%28% · Elo 31%28%· Elo 31%
2 – Banfield win27%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals18%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Newells Old Boys attack vs Banfield defenceattack1453defence1419+34 pts to the attack
Banfield attack vs Newells Old Boys defenceattack1464defence1424+40 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Banfield matches average only 3.4 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Newells Old Boys: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Newells Old Boys score a lot late on: 10 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Newells Old Boys: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Banfield: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Newells Old BoysClausura, Group A1245311:917
11BanfieldClausura, Group B1234514:1813
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Newells Old Boys vs Banfield?

Newells Old Boys 2-1 Banfield (half time 0-0).

Did the Newells Old Boys vs Banfield tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.