Primera LPFMatchday 5

Newells Old Boys 2-0 Dep. Riestra: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Referee:
Luis Lobo Medina

The match in numbers

1X2EloNewells Old Boys157633%38%Draw35%31%Dep. Riestra155033%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS36%41%O2.527%33%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Dep. Riestra1:1Newells Old BoysD
  2. Dep. Riestra3:3Newells Old BoysD
Newells Old Boys's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.6over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.2league 5.1under 5.5: 58%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 3
RefereeL. Lobo Medina+0.1 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 0.9total 1.8Attack/defence1.0 : 1.0total 2.0
Newells Old Boys : Dep. Riestra
Most likely scores
Market0-017%1-114%0-114%1-014%2-0—0-27%2-1—Attack/defence0-014%1-114%0-113%1-013%2-07%0-2—2-17%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-017%0-014%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-114%0-113%1-01-014%1-013%2-02-0—2-07%0-20-27%0-2—2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals89%86%86%
Under 2.5 goals73%67%67%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat68%65%65%
12 – no draw66%68%68%
Both teams to score: no64%59%59%
Over 1.5 goals55%60%60%
Under 1.5 goals45%40%40%
Both teams to score: yes36%41%41%
X – draw35%32% · Elo 31%32%· Elo 31%
1 – Newells Old Boys win33%36% · Elo 38%36%· Elo 38%
2 – Dep. Riestra win33%33% · Elo 31%33%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals27%33%33%
Over 3.5 goals11%14%14%
Attack vs defence
Newells Old Boys attack vs Dep. Riestra defenceattack1450defence1559−109 pts to the attack
Dep. Riestra attack vs Newells Old Boys defenceattack1441defence1419+22 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Dep. Riestra: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Newells Old Boys: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Newells Old Boys score a lot late on: 10 of 19 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Newells Old Boys: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Dep. Riestra: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Newells Old Boys1245311:917
12Dep. Riestra122559:1211
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Newells Old Boys vs Dep. Riestra?

Newells Old Boys 2-0 Dep. Riestra (half time 0-0).