Primera LPFMatchday 4

Dep. Riestra 2-0 Estudiantes L.P.: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Guillermo Laza, Flores
Referee:
Andres Merlos

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: NoWon65%

at least one side without a goal in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (58% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 5.5Lost68%

    referee Andres Merlos averages 4.0 cards a match, league average 5.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:0Lost18%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDep. Riestra155033%28%Draw35%31%Estudiantes L.P.170633%42%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS35%39%O2.526%31%|exp. goals 1.0 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Estudiantes L.P.1:0Dep. RiestraL
  2. Estudiantes L.P.2:0Dep. RiestraL
Dep. Riestra's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses1.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.6under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 2
Cardsleague cards4.6league 5.1under 5.5: 68%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 7
RefereeA. Merlos−1.3 cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 0.9total 1.8Attack/defence1.0 : 0.9total 1.9
Dep. Riestra : Estudiantes L.P.
Most likely scores
Market0-018%1-014%1-114%0-114%2-0—0-27%2-1—Attack/defence0-015%1-014%1-114%0-113%2-08%0-2—2-17%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-018%0-015%1-01-014%1-014%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-114%0-113%2-02-0—2-08%0-20-27%0-2—2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals90%87%87%
Under 2.5 goals74%69%69%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat68%63%63%
12 – no draw66%68%68%
Our tip: Both teams to score: no65%61%61%
Over 1.5 goals53%58%58%
Under 1.5 goals47%42%42%
X – draw35%32% · Elo 31%32%· Elo 31%
Both teams to score: yes35%39%39%
1 – Dep. Riestra win33%37% · Elo 28%37%· Elo 28%
2 – Estudiantes L.P. win33%31% · Elo 42%31%· Elo 42%
Over 2.5 goals26%31%31%
Over 3.5 goals10%13%13%
Attack vs defence
Dep. Riestra attack vs Estudiantes L.P. defenceattack1433defence1540−107 pts to the attack
Estudiantes L.P. attack vs Dep. Riestra defenceattack1536defence1555−19 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Dep. Riestra: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Estudiantes L.P. concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Dep. Riestra score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Estudiantes L.P. played 3 days ago
  • Dep. Riestra: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Estudiantes L.P.1242615:1314
12Dep. Riestra122559:1211
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Dep. Riestra vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Dep. Riestra 2-0 Estudiantes L.P. (half time 1-0).

Did the Dep. Riestra vs Estudiantes L.P. tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: No. The tip won.