Primera LPFMatchday 9

Banfield 1-1 Barracas Central: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Sebastian Zunino

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 8.5Won55%

under 8.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (48% of league matches); 7.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 6.8 in the visitors', league average 8.8

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 5.5Won57%

    3.3 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.6 in the visitors', league average 5.1; under 5.5 cards in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:0Lost15%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBanfield154637%38%Draw34%31%Barracas Central157629%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%48%O2.531%42%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Barracas Central1:2BanfieldW
  2. Banfield1:3Barracas CentralL
  3. Barracas Central1:0BanfieldL
  4. Barracas Central0:1BanfieldW
  5. Banfield0:0Barracas CentralD
Banfield's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.3league 8.8under 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 8.3 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 30%.won · ended 2
RefereeS. Zunino+0.9 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 0.9total 2.0Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Banfield : Barracas Central
Most likely scores
Market0-015%1-114%1-014%0-112%2-1—2-08%Attack/defence0-010%1-114%1-012%0-110%2-18%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-015%0-010%1-11-114%1-114%1-01-014%1-012%0-10-112%0-110%2-12-1—2-18%2-02-08%2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals86%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%69%69%
Under 2.5 goals69%58%58%
12 – no draw66%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%60%60%
Both teams to score: no60%52%52%
Over 1.5 goals59%68%68%
Under 1.5 goals41%32%32%
Both teams to score: yes40%48%48%
1 – Banfield win37%40% · Elo 38%40%· Elo 38%
X – draw34%29% · Elo 31%29%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals31%42%42%
2 – Barracas Central win29%31% · Elo 31%31%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals14%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Banfield attack vs Barracas Central defenceattack1473defence1483−10 pts to the attack
Barracas Central attack vs Banfield defenceattack1457defence1398+59 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Banfield matches average only 3.3 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Barracas Central: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Barracas Central score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Banfield: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Barracas Central: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Barracas Central1253410:918
11Banfield1234514:1813
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Banfield vs Barracas Central?

Banfield 1-1 Barracas Central (half time 1-0).

Did the Banfield vs Barracas Central tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 8.5. The tip won.