Primera LPFMatchday 10

Racing Club 3-1 Sarmiento Junin: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Leandro Rey Hilfer

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost56%

under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRacing Club165651%51%Draw27%28%Sarmiento Junin158121%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%47%O2.544%45%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sarmiento Junin0:0Racing ClubD
  2. Sarmiento Junin1:0Racing ClubL
  3. Racing Club1:0Sarmiento JuninW
  4. Sarmiento Junin1:1Racing ClubD
  5. Racing Club1:0Sarmiento JuninW
Racing Club's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.7under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 5
RefereeL. Rey Hilfer−0.5 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Racing Club : Sarmiento Junin
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-013%2-010%0-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-013%2-010%0-09%2-19%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-013%1-013%2-02-010%2-010%0-00-010%0-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat78%79%79%
Under 3.5 goals77%76%76%
12 – no draw72%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals71%71%71%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals56%55%55%
Both teams to score: no52%53%53%
1 – Racing Club win51%53% · Elo 51%53%· Elo 51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat48%47%47%
Both teams to score: yes48%47%47%
Over 2.5 goals44%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals29%29%29%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals23%24%24%
2 – Sarmiento Junin win21%21% · Elo 21%21%· Elo 21%
Attack vs defence
Racing Club attack vs Sarmiento Junin defenceattack1557defence1450+107 pts to the attack
Sarmiento Junin attack vs Racing Club defenceattack1467defence1507−40 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Racing Club: no win in 8 matches
  • Racing Club: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Racing Club: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sarmiento Junin: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Sarmiento Junin1161420:1719
13Racing Club1232713:1911
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin?

Racing Club 3-1 Sarmiento Junin (half time 1-1).

Did the Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.