Primera LPFMatchday 9
Sarmiento Junin 1-1 Belgrano: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio Eva Peron, Junin
- Referee:
- Felipe Viola
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won66%
under 5.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches); 4.1 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.6 in the visitors', league average 5.1
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost50%
under 4.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (43% of league matches); 4.1 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.6 in the visitors', league average 5.1
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%45%O2.536%38%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Belgrano4:0Sarmiento JuninL
- Sarmiento Junin0:0BelgranoD
- Belgrano0:0Sarmiento JuninD
- Belgrano1:2Sarmiento JuninW
- Belgrano3:0Sarmiento JuninL
Sarmiento Junin's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.7over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.1under 5.5: 66%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 5
RefereeF. Viola−0.8 cards vs average8 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.2total 2.2Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.2
Sarmiento Junin : BelgranoMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-013%0-113%1-011%0-28%2-1—2-0—Attack/defence1-114%0-011%0-111%1-012%0-2—2-18%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-00-013%0-011%0-10-113%0-111%1-01-011%1-012%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 83%82% | 82% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 71%63% | 63% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64%65% | 65% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64%62% | 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: no | 56%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44%45% | 45% |
| 2 – Belgrano win | 39%33% · Elo 37% | 33%· Elo 37% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36%35% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 32%30% · Elo 31% | 30%· Elo 31% |
| 1 – Sarmiento Junin win | 29%37% · Elo 32% | 37%· Elo 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Sarmiento Junin attack vs Belgrano defenceattack1470defence1531−61 pts to the attack
Belgrano attack vs Sarmiento Junin defenceattack1505defence1450+55 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sarmiento Junin: 18 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Sarmiento Junin: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Belgrano: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Belgrano | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:7 | 22 |
| 4 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano?
Sarmiento Junin 1-1 Belgrano (half time 1-0).
Did the Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.