Primera LPFMatchday 8

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-2 Sarmiento Junin: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Antonio Candini, Rio Cuarto
Referee:
Brian Ferreyra

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.566%

4.1 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.1 in the visitors', league average 5.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.549%

4.1 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.1 in the visitors', league average 5.1; under 4.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloEstudiantes Rio Cuarto147827%35%Draw33%31%Sarmiento Junin158139%34%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS37%43%O2.529%35%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Sarmiento Junin1:0Estudiantes Rio CuartoL
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.7under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 66%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.
RefereeB. Ferreyra−0.7 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 1.0total 1.8Attack/defence1.1 : 1.0total 2.1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto : Sarmiento Junin
Most likely scores
Market0-016%0-115%1-114%1-012%0-28%2-1—2-0—Attack/defence0-013%0-112%1-114%1-013%0-2—2-17%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-016%0-013%0-10-115%0-112%1-11-114%1-114%1-01-012%1-013%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-1—2-17%2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals88%84%84%
X2 – away team avoid defeat72%63%63%
Under 2.5 goals71%65%65%
12 – no draw66%69%69%
Both teams to score: no63%57%57%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%68%68%
Over 1.5 goals57%62%62%
Under 1.5 goals43%38%38%
2 – Sarmiento Junin win39%32% · Elo 34%32%· Elo 34%
Both teams to score: yes37%43%43%
X – draw33%31% · Elo 31%31%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals29%35%35%
1 – Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win27%37% · Elo 35%37%· Elo 35%
Over 3.5 goals12%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto attack vs Sarmiento Junin defenceattack1361defence1436−75 pts to the attack
Sarmiento Junin attack vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto defenceattack1463defence1428+35 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Estudiantes Rio Cuarto score only 0.4 goals per game
  • Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: newly promoted
  • Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sarmiento Junin: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Sarmiento Junin1161420:1719
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121386:166
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-2 Sarmiento Junin (half time 0-1).