Primera LPFMatchday 11

Talleres Cordoba 0-1 Belgrano: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 4 October · 21:00

Talleres Cordoba

2-2 0-0 0-1 2-1 1-3

0-1Full time(half time 0-0)

Belgrano

2-1 1-1 1-1 0-0 1-2

Stadium:: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba
Referee:: Facundo Tello

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: 3 October 2026, 21:53. A published tip never changes.

Main tip

Cards: Under 5.5Lost66%

under 5.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 10 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches)

Other tips

Total Goals: Under 2.5Won63%
under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Shots on Target – Belgrano: Over 3.5Lost67%
Belgrano: over 3.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Talleres Cordoba's opponents had over 3.5 in 10 of 10 (42% of league matches); 4.8 shots on target a match, Talleres Cordoba's opponents had 6.2 on average, league average 3.4
Offsides – Talleres Cordoba: Over 1.5Won66%
Talleres Cordoba: 1.9 offsides a match, Belgrano's opponents were caught offside 2.9 times on average, league average 1.7; our numbers for Talleres Cordoba: 2.3 offsides against a league average of 1.7
Fouls: Under 22.5Won64%
our numbers: 20.8 fouls against a league average of 22.7; under 22.5 fouls in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (50% of league matches)

For the brave

Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTalleres Cordoba157435%32%Draw31%31%Belgrano168534%37%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%45%O2.537%39%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.0not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

09/05/202609/05/26Talleres Cordoba0:1BelgranoL
15/03/202615/03/26Belgrano0:0Talleres CordobaD
05/10/202505/10/25Talleres Cordoba0:0BelgranoD
30/03/202530/03/25Belgrano1:1Talleres CordobaD
06/10/202406/10/24Talleres Cordoba0:0BelgranoD

Talleres Cordoba's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss0.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.7over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 9

Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 66%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 6

RefereeF. Tello−0.6 cards vs average13 matches

Dutching(several bets at once)75%X21:0coverageleague 72% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.1 : 1.1total 2.2Attack/defence1.2 : 1.0total 2.2

Talleres Cordoba : Belgrano

Most likely scores

Market1-114%1-012%0-012%0-111%2-17%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-013%0-011%0-111%2-18%2-08%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-012%1-013%0-00-012%0-011%0-10-111%0-111%2-12-17%2-18%2-02-0—2-08%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Under 3.5 goals	82%81%	81%
12 – no draw	69%71%	71%
1X – home team avoid defeat	66%69%	69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	65%61%	61%
Over 1.5 goals	65%65%	65%
Under 2.5 goals	63%61%	61%
Both teams to score: no	55%55%	55%
Both teams to score: yes	45%45%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	37%39%	39%
1 – Talleres Cordoba win	35%39% · Elo 32%	39%· Elo 32%
Under 1.5 goals	35%35%	35%
2 – Belgrano win	34%31% · Elo 37%	31%· Elo 37%
X – draw	31%30% · Elo 31%	30%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals	18%19%	19%

Attack vs defence

Talleres Cordoba attack vs Belgrano defenceattack1483defence1531−48 pts to the attack

Belgrano attack vs Talleres Cordoba defenceattack1504defence1475+29 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Over 7.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over

We expect 8.9 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

6.577%61%

7.565%51%

8.552%39%

9.540%30%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Talleres Cordobawe expect 4.6, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 49%

Belgranowe expect 4.7, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 67%

Foulsleague average

Under 22.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%

We expect 20.8 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

21.543%56%

22.536%51%

23.530%46%

24.524%38%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Talleres Cordobawe expect 10.0, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 42%

Belgranowe expect 10.7, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 39%

Referee: 23.1 fouls per match on average (18 matches in our data)−0.2 vs the league average

Offsidesleague average

Over 3.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over

We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

2.572%65%

3.552%41%

4.533%26%

5.518%15%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Talleres Cordobawe expect 2.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 66%

Belgranowe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Talleres Cordoba matches average 10.7 corners (league 8.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
Talleres Cordoba: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Talleres Cordoba: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
Belgrano: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form