BundesligaMatchday 6

Austria Vienna 2-1 A. Lustenau: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Generali Arena, Vienna
Referee:
Christian-Petru Ciochirca

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Won57%

over 9.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (45% of league matches); 10.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 14.4 in the visitors', league average 9.6

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won66%

    our numbers: 3.8 cards against a league average of 4.1

For the brave
Corners: Over 10.5Lost45%

10.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 14.4 in the visitors', league average 9.6; over 10.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (37% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAustria Vienna162155%53%Draw24%26%A. Lustenau151321%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%52%O2.553%48%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. A. Lustenau2:0Austria ViennaL
  2. Austria Vienna1:1A. LustenauD
  3. Austria Vienna1:0A. LustenauW
  4. A. Lustenau0:2Austria ViennaW
  5. Austria Vienna5:0A. LustenauW
Austria Vienna's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 9.6over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 66%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 1
RefereeC.-P. Ciochirca−0.4 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.0total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Austria Vienna : A. Lustenau
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-010%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-07%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat79%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals78%73%73%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals69%74%74%
1 – Austria Vienna win55%48% · Elo 53%48%· Elo 53%
Both teams to score: yes54%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals53%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals47%52%52%
Both teams to score: no46%48%48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat45%52%52%
Over 3.5 goals31%26%26%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals22%27%27%
2 – A. Lustenau win21%26% · Elo 21%26%· Elo 21%
Attack vs defence
Austria Vienna attack vs A. Lustenau defenceattack1475defence1461+14 pts to the attack
A. Lustenau attack vs Austria Vienna defenceattack1444defence1527−83 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • A. Lustenau: newly promoted
  • Austria Vienna: 11 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • A. Lustenau: 16 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9A. Lustenau822411:158
10Austria Vienna82157:157
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Austria Vienna vs A. Lustenau?

Austria Vienna 2-1 A. Lustenau (half time 0-0).

Did the Austria Vienna vs A. Lustenau tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip won.