BundesligaMatchday 4
Sturm Graz 1-1 A. Lustenau: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Merkur Arena, Graz
- Referee:
- Julian Weinberger
Our tips
Main tip
Match Result: Sturm GrazLost70%
Sturm Graz: won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost63%
our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%54%O2.563%55%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sturm Graz2:0A. LustenauW
- A. Lustenau0:1Sturm GrazW
- A. Lustenau0:2Sturm GrazW
- Sturm Graz2:0A. LustenauW
- Sturm Graz7:0A. LustenauW
Sturm Graz's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeJ. Weinberger−0.8 cards vs average16 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 0.9total 3.3Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Sturm Graz : A. LustenauMost likely scores
Market2-011%1-19%1-09%2-110%3-09%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%1-111%1-010%2-110%3-06%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-010%1-11-19%1-111%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-09%3-06%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 88%81% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 82%77% | 77% |
| Our tip: 1 – Sturm Graz win | 70%58% · Elo 63% | 58%· Elo 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%55% | 55% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%33% | 33% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37%45% | 45% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 30%42% | 42% |
| X – draw | 18%23% · Elo 22% | 23%· Elo 22% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%22% | 22% |
| 2 – A. Lustenau win | 12%19% · Elo 15% | 19%· Elo 15% |
Attack vs defence
Sturm Graz attack vs A. Lustenau defenceattack1607defence1472+135 pts to the attack
A. Lustenau attack vs Sturm Graz defenceattack1458defence1573−115 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sturm Graz: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Sturm Graz: unbeaten in 16 matches
- A. Lustenau: newly promoted
- Sturm Graz: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- A. Lustenau: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 9 | A. Lustenau | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sturm Graz vs A. Lustenau?
Sturm Graz 1-1 A. Lustenau (half time 0-1).
Did the Sturm Graz vs A. Lustenau tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Sturm Graz. The tip lost.