BundesligaMatchday 7

Ried 4-1 Wolfsberger AC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
BWT Oberösterreichische Arena, Ried im Innkreis
Referee:
Alexander Harkam

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost71%

referee Alexander Harkam averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.1; our numbers: 3.6 cards against a league average of 4.1

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon59%

    Ried: scored in each of their last 6 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRied153750%34%Draw25%29%Wolfsberger AC154325%37%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%58%O2.557%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Ried2:1Wolfsberger ACW
  2. Ried0:1Wolfsberger ACL
  3. Wolfsberger AC0:0RiedD
  4. Ried1:0Wolfsberger ACW
  5. Wolfsberger AC1:2RiedW
Ried's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.6under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.6league 4.1under 4.5: 71%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 7
RefereeA. Harkam−1.7 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.2total 3.0Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.8
Ried : Wolfsberger AC
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%2-06%1-28%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-08%1-08%2-02-08%2-06%1-21-27%1-28%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%65%65%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals65%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes59%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals57%54%54%
1 – Ried win50%40% · Elo 34%40%· Elo 34%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%61%61%
Under 2.5 goals43%46%46%
Both teams to score: no41%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals35%31%31%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
2 – Wolfsberger AC win25%35% · Elo 37%35%· Elo 37%
Under 1.5 goals19%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Ried attack vs Wolfsberger AC defenceattack1463defence1480−17 pts to the attack
Wolfsberger AC attack vs Ried defenceattack1473defence1424+49 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Ried832313:1311
12Wolfsberger AC81257:165
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?

Ried 4-1 Wolfsberger AC (half time 3-0).

Did the Ried vs Wolfsberger AC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.