Pro LeagueMatchday 9
Kortrijk vs Mechelen: prediction, tips and stats
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1.4:1.4Pre-match
- Referee:
- Bram Van Driessche
Our tips
Tip in 6h 7mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS57%57%O2.552%53%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Kortrijk3:1MechelenW
- Mechelen3:0KortrijkL
- Mechelen3:0KortrijkL
- Kortrijk0:3MechelenL
- Mechelen3:2KortrijkL
Kortrijk's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners
9.9league 10.2under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league
3.8league 3.7over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.Referee
B. Van Driessche−0.1 yellow cards vs average31 matchesPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.4total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.8
Kortrijk : MechelenMost likely scores
Market1-113%2-18%1-28%1-08%0-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-18%1-28%1-08%0-18%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-08%1-08%0-10-18%0-18%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%69% | 69% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%64% | 64% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%43% | 43% |
| 1 – Kortrijk win | 36%38% · Elo 27% | 38%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Mechelen win | 36%36% · Elo 46% | 36%· Elo 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Kortrijk attack vs Mechelen defenceattack1379defence1454−75 pts to the attack
Mechelen attack vs Kortrijk defenceattack1435defence1401+34 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.556%62%
8.543%51%
9.531%41%
10.521%29%
Each team on its own
Kortrijkwe expect 3.9, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Mechelenwe expect 3.8, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 52%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 48%
We expect 20.6 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.556%62%
20.548%56%
21.541%48%
22.534%38%
Each team on its own
Kortrijkwe expect 11.3, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
Mechelenwe expect 10.2, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Referee: 20.4 fouls per match on average (31 matches in our data)−1.6 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%63%
3.544%43%
4.526%28%
5.513%17%
Each team on its own
Kortrijkwe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Mechelenwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Mechelen11 matches without a win awayWent on 77%League 70%Model 63%Record 28
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Mechelen concede 2.0 goals per game (last 10 league matches)
- Kortrijk: newly promoted
- Kortrijk: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Mechelen: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mechelen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3:19 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kortrijk vs Mechelen?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Kortrijk win 36%, draw 27%, Mechelen win 36%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Kortrijk vs Mechelen?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Kortrijk 1.4, Mechelen 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Kortrijk vs Mechelen?
The chance that both teams score is 57%.
When is Kortrijk vs Mechelen?
The Pro League match kicks off 4 November 2026, 19:30 (UK time).
Who is the referee for Kortrijk vs Mechelen?
The referee is Bram Van Driessche. In 31 matches in our data they showed 3.8 yellow cards a match on average.