Pro LeagueMatchday 6

St. Gilloise 5-0 Lommel SK: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stade Joseph Marien, Saint-Gilles
Referee:
Yusuke Araki

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won65%

our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

Other tips

  • Match Result: St. GilloiseWon78%

    St. Gilloise: won 4 of their last 5 league matches; won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won43%

over 3.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSt. Gilloise195778%85%Draw14%10%Lommel SK14969%5%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%47%O2.565%53%|exp. goals 2.0 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Lommel SK0:2St. GilloiseW
  2. St. Gilloise3:2Lommel SKW
  3. Lommel SK0:1St. GilloiseW
  4. St. Gilloise4:2Lommel SKW
  5. St. Gilloise2:2Lommel SKD
St. Gilloise's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.1under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.9under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 2
RefereeY. Araki−0.7 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 0.7total 3.3Attack/defence2.0 : 0.8total 2.8
St. Gilloise : Lommel SK
Most likely scores
Market2-012%1-09%3-010%1-1—2-19%3-18%Attack/defence2-013%1-012%3-08%1-110%2-110%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-013%1-01-09%1-012%3-03-010%3-08%1-11-1—1-110%2-12-19%2-110%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat92%87%87%
12 – no draw87%79%79%
Over 1.5 goals85%77%77%
1 – St. Gilloise win78%66% · Elo 85%66%· Elo 85%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals65%53%53%
Under 3.5 goals57%69%69%
Both teams to score: no51%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes49%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals43%31%31%
Under 2.5 goals35%47%47%
X2 – away team avoid defeat23%34%34%
Under 1.5 goals15%23%23%
X – draw14%21% · Elo 10%21%· Elo 10%
2 – Lommel SK win9%13% · Elo 5%13%· Elo 5%
Attack vs defence
St. Gilloise attack vs Lommel SK defenceattack1606defence1460+146 pts to the attack
Lommel SK attack vs St. Gilloise defenceattack1436defence1702−266 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • St. Gilloise score 2.3 goals per game
  • St. Gilloise: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Lommel SK: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • St. Gilloise: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Lommel SK: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4St. Gilloise862022:420
10Lommel SK83239:911
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of St. Gilloise vs Lommel SK?

St. Gilloise 5-0 Lommel SK (half time 2-0).

Did the St. Gilloise vs Lommel SK tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.