Pro LeagueMatchday 6

Waregem 0-1 Charleroi: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Regenboogstadion, Waregem
Referee:
Bert Verbeke

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost59%

referee Bert Verbeke averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 3.8; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.8

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost38%

referee Bert Verbeke averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 3.8; under 2.5 cards in 2 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (28% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWaregem160835%34%Draw28%28%Charleroi172538%38%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%56%O2.550%52%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Waregem1:0CharleroiW
  2. Charleroi1:2WaregemW
  3. Charleroi3:2WaregemL
  4. Waregem1:3CharleroiL
  5. Charleroi3:0WaregemL
Waregem's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.1under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.8under 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 4
RefereeB. Verbeke−1.1 cards vs average30 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.8
Waregem : Charleroi
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%2-18%0-18%1-28%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%0-18%1-28%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-08%1-09%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-18%0-18%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals76%76%76%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals72%70%70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes55%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals50%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals50%48%48%
Both teams to score: no45%44%44%
2 – Charleroi win38%34% · Elo 38%34%· Elo 38%
1 – Waregem win35%40% · Elo 34%40%· Elo 34%
X – draw28%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals28%30%30%
Under 1.5 goals24%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Waregem attack vs Charleroi defenceattack1507defence1547−40 pts to the attack
Charleroi attack vs Waregem defenceattack1514defence1493+21 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Waregem score 2.3 goals per game
  • Waregem: 26 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Waregem: unbeaten in 12 matches
  • Charleroi: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Waregem: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Charleroi: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Charleroi870116:721
8Waregem832310:911
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Waregem vs Charleroi?

Waregem 0-1 Charleroi (half time 0-1).

Did the Waregem vs Charleroi tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.