Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 19
Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte
- Referee:
- Braulio da Silva Machado
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%52%O2.551%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Atletico-MG3:0BahiaW
- Bahia2:1Atletico-MGL
- Bahia3:0Atletico-MGL
- Atletico-MG1:1BahiaD
- Bahia4:1Atletico-MGL
Atletico-MG's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.2under 5.5: 59%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 30%.won · ended 2
RefereeB. da Silva Machado+0.9 cards vs average2 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Atletico-MG : BahiaMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-09%0-00-08%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%74% | 74% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Atletico-MG win | 51%49% · Elo 47% | 49%· Elo 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%48% | 48% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%27% | 27% |
| 2 – Bahia win | 23%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
Attack vs defence
Atletico-MG attack vs Bahia defenceattack1500defence1490+10 pts to the attack
Bahia attack vs Atletico-MG defenceattack1524defence1534−10 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Atletico-MG matches average only 3.5 cards (league 5.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Bahia matches average 12.6 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Atletico-MG: 51 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Bahia: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 47 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia (half time 1-0).