Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 4
Bahia 2-0 Chapecoense-SC: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
- Referee:
- Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva
Our tips
Main tip
Match Result: BahiaWon68%
Chapecoense-SC: winless in their last 16 league matches
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost59%
over 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (49% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%53%O2.559%56%|exp. goals 2.0 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bahia3:0Chapecoense-SCW
- Chapecoense-SC0:2BahiaW
- Bahia1:1Chapecoense-SCD
- Chapecoense-SC0:0BahiaD
- Bahia1:0Chapecoense-SCW
Bahia's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 16
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.2under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 29%.won · ended 2
RefereeP. Cesar Zanovelli da Silva+0.3 cards vs average8 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 0.8total 3.0Attack/defence2.0 : 0.9total 2.9
Bahia : Chapecoense-SCMost likely scores
Market2-011%1-010%1-19%2-110%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-011%1-010%1-110%2-110%3-07%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-011%1-01-010%1-010%1-11-19%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-07%3-13-1—3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 87%83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 81%78% | 78% |
| Our tip: 1 – Bahia win | 68%61% · Elo 58% | 61%· Elo 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%33% | 33% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 32%39% | 39% |
| X – draw | 19%22% · Elo 24% | 22%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%21% | 21% |
| 2 – Chapecoense-SC win | 13%17% · Elo 18% | 17%· Elo 18% |
Attack vs defence
Bahia attack vs Chapecoense-SC defenceattack1523defence1386+137 pts to the attack
Chapecoense-SC attack vs Bahia defenceattack1418defence1486−68 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chapecoense-SC concede 2.2 goals per game
- Bahia: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Chapecoense-SC: no win in 16 matches
- Chapecoense-SC: only 2 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 9 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Chapecoense-SC score a lot late on: 8 of 17 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Chapecoense-SC: newly promoted
- Bahia: 48 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Chapecoense-SC: 47 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 49 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bahia vs Chapecoense-SC?
Bahia 2-0 Chapecoense-SC (half time 2-0).
Did the Bahia vs Chapecoense-SC tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Bahia. The tip won.