Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 23
Chapecoense-SC 3-3 Bahia: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Arena Conda, Chapeco
- Referee:
- Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%53%O2.549%48%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bahia2:0Chapecoense-SCL
- Bahia3:0Chapecoense-SCL
- Chapecoense-SC0:2BahiaL
- Bahia1:1Chapecoense-SCD
- Chapecoense-SC0:0BahiaD
Chapecoense-SC's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.0under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.0over 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.lost · ended 3
RefereeD. Caroline Muniz Dos Santosfirst match in our data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Chapecoense-SC : BahiaMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-0—1-29%0-28%0-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-09%1-28%0-2—0-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-110%0-110%1-01-0—1-09%1-21-29%1-28%0-20-28%0-2—0-00-08%0-08%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 73%65% | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 55%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%47% | 47% |
| 2 – Bahia win | 45%38% · Elo 40% | 38%· Elo 40% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 29% | 27%· Elo 29% |
| 1 – Chapecoense-SC win | 27%35% · Elo 31% | 35%· Elo 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%26% | 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Chapecoense-SC attack vs Bahia defenceattack1415defence1503−88 pts to the attack
Bahia attack vs Chapecoense-SC defenceattack1504defence1370+134 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chapecoense-SC concede 2.1 goals per game
- Bahia matches average 12.5 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Chapecoense-SC: no win in 20 matches
- Chapecoense-SC score a lot late on: 7 of 16 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Chapecoense-SC: newly promoted
- Chapecoense-SC: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Bahia: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 49 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Chapecoense-SC vs Bahia?
Chapecoense-SC 3-3 Bahia (half time 1-2).