Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 19

Chapecoense-SC 0-4 Flamengo RJ: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Arena Conda, Chapeco
Referee:
Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Flamengo RJWon68%

Chapecoense-SC: winless in their last 17 league matches; Flamengo RJ: won 5 of their last 9 league matches away

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 5.5Won66%

    referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein averages 4.4 cards a match, league average 5.2; our numbers: 4.8 cards against a league average of 5.2

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:2Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloChapecoense-SC154512%14%Draw20%21%Flamengo RJ194268%65%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%56%O2.552%55%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Chapecoense-SC2:2Flamengo RJD
  2. Flamengo RJ2:1Chapecoense-SCL
  3. Chapecoense-SC0:1Flamengo RJL
  4. Flamengo RJ2:1Chapecoense-SCL
  5. Flamengo RJ2:0Chapecoense-SCL
Chapecoense-SC's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.1under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.2under 5.5: 66%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 32%.won · ended 1
RefereeR. Rodrigo Klein−1.0 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.7 : 2.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.1 : 1.8total 2.9
Chapecoense-SC : Flamengo RJ
Most likely scores
Market0-213%0-112%1-110%1-29%0-39%2-1—0-0—Attack/defence0-29%0-110%1-111%1-210%0-3—2-16%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence0-20-213%0-29%0-10-112%0-110%1-11-110%1-111%1-21-29%1-210%0-30-39%0-3—2-12-1—2-16%0-00-0—0-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat88%77%77%
12 – no draw80%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals77%78%78%
Under 3.5 goals70%67%67%
Our tip: 2 – Flamengo RJ win68%53% · Elo 65%53%· Elo 65%
Both teams to score: no55%44%44%
Over 2.5 goals52%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals48%45%45%
Both teams to score: yes45%56%56%
1X – home team avoid defeat32%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals30%33%33%
Under 1.5 goals23%22%22%
X – draw20%24% · Elo 21%24%· Elo 21%
1 – Chapecoense-SC win12%23% · Elo 14%23%· Elo 14%
Attack vs defence
Chapecoense-SC attack vs Flamengo RJ defenceattack1413defence1597−184 pts to the attack
Flamengo RJ attack vs Chapecoense-SC defenceattack1667defence1385+282 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chapecoense-SC concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Chapecoense-SC: 4 defeats in a row
  • Chapecoense-SC: only 2 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 8 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Chapecoense-SC score a lot late on: 8 of 17 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Chapecoense-SC: newly promoted
  • Chapecoense-SC: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Flamengo RJ: 53 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Flamengo RJ30197458:2564
20Chapecoense-SC29391730:6118
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chapecoense-SC vs Flamengo RJ?

Chapecoense-SC 0-4 Flamengo RJ (half time 0-2).

Did the Chapecoense-SC vs Flamengo RJ tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Flamengo RJ. The tip won.