Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 20
Bahia 1-1 Corinthians: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador (attendance: 44,576)
- Referee:
- Ramon Abatti Abel
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost64%
referee Ramon Abatti Abel averages 4.3 cards a match, league average 5.1
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost47%
referee Ramon Abatti Abel averages 4.3 cards a match, league average 5.1
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%50%O2.546%45%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Corinthians1:2BahiaW
- Corinthians1:2BahiaW
- Bahia1:1CorinthiansD
- Corinthians3:0BahiaL
- Bahia0:1CorinthiansL
Bahia's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.1under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 7
RefereeR. Abatti Abel−1.0 cards vs average10 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.2total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Bahia : CorinthiansMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%2-19%2-0—0-09%0-18%Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-19%2-09%0-09%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-012%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-0—2-09%0-00-09%0-09%0-10-18%0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46%45% | 45% |
| 1 – Bahia win | 40%48% · Elo 42% | 48%· Elo 42% |
| 2 – Corinthians win | 31%26% · Elo 30% | 26%· Elo 30% |
| X – draw | 29%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%29% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Bahia attack vs Corinthians defenceattack1528defence1544−16 pts to the attack
Corinthians attack vs Bahia defenceattack1468defence1492−24 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Bahia matches average 12.4 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Corinthians played 3 days ago
- Bahia: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 49 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | 32 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bahia vs Corinthians?
Bahia 1-1 Corinthians (half time 1-1).
Did the Bahia vs Corinthians tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.