Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 15

Corinthians 3-2 Sao Paulo: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Referee:
Anderson Daronco

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Won58%

10.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.4 in the visitors', league average 10.0

For the brave
Corners: Over 10.5Won46%

10.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.4 in the visitors', league average 10.0; our numbers: 10.4 corners against a league average of 10.0

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%O2.540%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Corinthians3:1Sao PauloW
  2. Sao Paulo2:0CorinthiansL
  3. Sao Paulo3:1CorinthiansL
  4. Corinthians2:2Sao PauloD
  5. Sao Paulo2:1CorinthiansL
Corinthians's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.0over 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 14
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.2under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 31%.lost · ended 8
RefereeA. Daronco+0.6 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Corinthians : Sao Paulo
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-113%1-013%0-011%0-110%2-09%2-19%
Attack/defence1-11-113%1-01-013%0-00-011%0-10-110%2-02-09%2-12-19%
Attack vs defence
Corinthians attack vs Sao Paulo defenceattack1437defence1528−91 pts to the attack
Sao Paulo attack vs Corinthians defenceattack1500defence1535−35 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Corinthians: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Corinthians score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Sao Paulo matches average 12.4 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Corinthians: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Corinthians: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Sao Paulo: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Sao Paulo301161335:3539
16Corinthians30881431:3832
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?

Corinthians 3-2 Sao Paulo (half time 1-1).

Did the Corinthians vs Sao Paulo tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip won.