Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 21

Fluminense 0-0 Bahia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Maracana Stadium, Rio de Janeiro
Referee:
Raphael Claus

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won62%

referee Raphael Claus averages 4.7 cards a match, league average 5.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFluminense176553%53%Draw26%26%Bahia171421%21%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%49%O2.551%47%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bahia1:1FluminenseD
  2. Fluminense2:0BahiaW
  3. Bahia3:3FluminenseD
  4. Fluminense1:0BahiaW
  5. Bahia2:1FluminenseL
Fluminense's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.1under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.1under 5.5: 62%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 2
RefereeR. Claus−1.0 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Fluminense : Bahia
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-010%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-110%2-010%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-012%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-010%0-00-07%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat79%78%78%
Over 1.5 goals77%72%72%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals71%75%75%
1 – Fluminense win53%52% · Elo 53%52%· Elo 53%
Both teams to score: yes53%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals51%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals49%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%48%48%
Both teams to score: no47%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals29%25%25%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals23%28%28%
2 – Bahia win21%22% · Elo 21%22%· Elo 21%
Attack vs defence
Fluminense attack vs Bahia defenceattack1525defence1493+32 pts to the attack
Bahia attack vs Fluminense defenceattack1523defence1574−51 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Fluminense matches average 6.6 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Bahia matches average 12.1 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Fluminense played 3 days ago
  • Bahia played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Fluminense30149748:3751
5Bahia301310744:3649
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Fluminense vs Bahia?

Fluminense 0-0 Bahia (half time 0-0).

Did the Fluminense vs Bahia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.