Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 20
Gremio 1-1 Fluminense: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Arena do Gremio, Porto Alegre
- Referee:
- Edina Alves Batista
Our tips
Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost59%
under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (62% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Won14%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%50%O2.547%44%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Fluminense2:1GremioL
- Gremio1:2FluminenseL
- Fluminense1:0GremioL
- Fluminense2:2GremioD
- Fluminense2:1GremioL
Gremio's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.1under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 30%.lost · ended 6
RefereeE. Alves Batista0.0 cards vs average1 match
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.4total 2.5Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.4
Gremio : FluminenseMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-08%0-110%0-09%1-29%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-110%0-09%1-28%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-08%1-011%0-10-110%0-110%0-00-09%0-09%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 70%61% | 61% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 59%67% | 67% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%44% | 44% |
| 2 – Fluminense win | 41%33% · Elo 35% | 33%· Elo 35% |
| 1 – Gremio win | 30%39% · Elo 36% | 39%· Elo 36% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 29% | 28%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%30% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Gremio attack vs Fluminense defenceattack1481defence1573−92 pts to the attack
Fluminense attack vs Gremio defenceattack1525defence1468+57 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Gremio score only 0.7 goals per game
- Gremio: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Fluminense: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 51 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | 31 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio 1-1 Fluminense (half time 0-0).
Did the Gremio vs Fluminense tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.