Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 19
Mirassol 2-1 Gremio: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Jose Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, Mirassol
- Referee:
- Bruno Arleu de Araujo
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%53%O2.544%50%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Gremio0:1MirassolW
- Mirassol4:1GremioW
Mirassol's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.1league 10.0over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.5league 5.2under 5.5: 53%Expected cards: 5.5 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 4
RefereeB. Arleu de Araujo+0.8 cards vs average10 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Mirassol : GremioMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%2-010%0-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-09%0-07%2-110%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-012%1-011%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-010%0-07%2-12-19%2-110%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71%75% | 75% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Mirassol win | 50%52% · Elo 49% | 52%· Elo 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44%50% | 50% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 27%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23%28% | 28% |
| 2 – Gremio win | 22%23% · Elo 24% | 23%· Elo 24% |
Attack vs defence
Mirassol attack vs Gremio defenceattack1510defence1469+41 pts to the attack
Gremio attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1481defence1496−15 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Gremio score only 0.7 goals per game
- Mirassol concede a lot late on: 10 of 24 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Mirassol: 48 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Gremio: 48 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | 33 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | 31 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Mirassol vs Gremio?
Mirassol 2-1 Gremio (half time 2-0).