Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 20
Santos 2-2 Chapecoense-SC: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Urbano Caldeira, Santos
- Referee:
- Fernando de Salles Nascimento
Our tips
Main tip
Match Result: SantosLost72%
Chapecoense-SC: winless in their last 18 league matches; Santos: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won59%
over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (49% of league matches)
- Cards: Under 5.5Lost62%
5.3 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.7 in the visitors', league average 5.1
For the brave
Correct Score: 3:0Lost10%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%53%O2.559%54%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Chapecoense-SC4:2SantosL
- Santos2:0Chapecoense-SCW
- Chapecoense-SC0:1SantosW
- Santos2:0Chapecoense-SCW
- Chapecoense-SC0:1SantosW
Santos's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.1under 5.5: 62%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 29%.lost · ended 7
RefereeF. de Salles Nascimento+0.2 cards vs average8 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 0.8total 3.1Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Santos : Chapecoense-SCMost likely scores
Market2-012%1-19%1-010%3-010%2-19%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%1-111%1-011%3-06%2-110%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-010%1-11-19%1-111%1-01-010%1-011%3-03-010%3-06%2-12-19%2-110%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 89%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 83%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%78% | 78% |
| Our tip: 1 – Santos win | 72%58% · Elo 59% | 58%· Elo 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%68% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%32% | 32% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 28%42% | 42% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%22% | 22% |
| X – draw | 17%23% · Elo 24% | 23%· Elo 24% |
| 2 – Chapecoense-SC win | 11%19% · Elo 18% | 19%· Elo 18% |
Attack vs defence
Santos attack vs Chapecoense-SC defenceattack1488defence1376+112 pts to the attack
Chapecoense-SC attack vs Santos defenceattack1410defence1455−45 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chapecoense-SC concede 2.3 goals per game
- Chapecoense-SC matches average only 3.7 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Chapecoense-SC score only 0.7 goals per game
- Chapecoense-SC: 5 defeats in a row
- Chapecoense-SC: only 1 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 7 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Santos: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Chapecoense-SC: 3 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:45 | 42 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Santos vs Chapecoense-SC?
Santos 2-2 Chapecoense-SC (half time 1-0).
Did the Santos vs Chapecoense-SC tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Santos. The tip lost.