Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 22
Coritiba 2-1 Chapecoense-SC: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
- Referee:
- Joao Vitor Gobi
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won70%
our numbers: 4.5 cards against a league average of 5.1; 4.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.7 in the visitors', league average 5.1
Other tips
- Corners: Under 10.5Lost62%
8.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.7 in the visitors', league average 10.0
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost12%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%52%O2.549%50%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Chapecoense-SC3:3CoritibaD
- Chapecoense-SC2:1CoritibaL
- Coritiba2:0Chapecoense-SCW
- Chapecoense-SC1:0CoritibaL
- Coritiba3:4Chapecoense-SCL
Coritiba's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.0under 10.5: 62%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.5league 5.1under 5.5: 70%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 2
RefereeJ. Vitor Gobi−2.5 cards vs average4 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.8total 2.6Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Coritiba : Chapecoense-SCMost likely scores
Market1-012%1-112%2-012%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-011%1-112%2-010%2-110%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-012%1-011%1-11-112%1-112%2-02-012%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 83%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%72% | 72% |
| 1 – Coritiba win | 59%53% · Elo 56% | 53%· Elo 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%48% | 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%52% | 52% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 41%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%28% | 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – Chapecoense-SC win | 17%22% · Elo 19% | 22%· Elo 19% |
Attack vs defence
Coritiba attack vs Chapecoense-SC defenceattack1435defence1371+64 pts to the attack
Chapecoense-SC attack vs Coritiba defenceattack1416defence1433−17 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chapecoense-SC concede 2.3 goals per game
- Chapecoense-SC matches average only 3.7 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Chapecoense-SC: no win in 19 matches
- Chapecoense-SC: only 2 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 7 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Chapecoense-SC score a lot late on: 8 of 19 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Coritiba: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Chapecoense-SC: 14 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:48 | 39 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Coritiba vs Chapecoense-SC?
Coritiba 2-1 Chapecoense-SC (half time 1-0).
Did the Coritiba vs Chapecoense-SC tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.