Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 21

Coritiba 0-1 Cruzeiro: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Referee:
Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won56%

under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCoritiba164529%37%Draw29%29%Cruzeiro176342%34%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%49%O2.544%42%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Cruzeiro1:2CoritibaW
  2. Coritiba1:0CruzeiroW
  3. Cruzeiro0:0CoritibaD
  4. Coritiba1:0CruzeiroW
  5. Cruzeiro2:0CoritibaL
Coritiba's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.won · ended 2
RefereeW. do Nascimento Magalhaes+0.3 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.4total 2.5Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
Coritiba : Cruzeiro
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-111%1-08%0-010%1-29%2-1—Attack/defence1-114%0-111%1-011%0-010%1-28%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-10-111%0-111%1-01-08%1-011%0-00-010%0-010%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%78%78%
X2 – away team avoid defeat71%64%64%
12 – no draw71%71%71%
Over 1.5 goals71%69%69%
1X – home team avoid defeat58%65%65%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals56%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes50%49%49%
Both teams to score: no50%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals44%42%42%
2 – Cruzeiro win42%35% · Elo 34%35%· Elo 34%
1 – Coritiba win29%36% · Elo 37%36%· Elo 37%
X – draw29%29% · Elo 29%29%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals29%31%31%
Over 3.5 goals23%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Coritiba attack vs Cruzeiro defenceattack1440defence1560−120 pts to the attack
Cruzeiro attack vs Coritiba defenceattack1502defence1434+68 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cruzeiro matches average 6.4 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Coritiba: newly promoted
  • Coritiba: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Cruzeiro: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Cruzeiro301461046:4448
11Coritiba301091138:4839
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Coritiba vs Cruzeiro?

Coritiba 0-1 Cruzeiro (half time 0-0).

Did the Coritiba vs Cruzeiro tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.