Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 21

Corinthians 0-0 Athletico-PR: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Referee:
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won62%

under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won61%

    8.3 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.1 in the visitors', league average 10.1

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Won34%

under 1.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; under 1.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 10 (24% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCorinthians166650%47%Draw29%28%Athletico-PR173222%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%46%O2.538%41%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Athletico-PR0:1CorinthiansW
  2. Corinthians5:2Athletico-PRW
  3. Athletico-PR1:1CorinthiansD
  4. Corinthians1:0Athletico-PRW
  5. Athletico-PR1:0CorinthiansL
Corinthians's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.1under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.1under 5.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.lost · ended 8
RefereeP. Cesar Zanovelli da Silva−0.3 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.8total 2.2Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3
Corinthians : Athletico-PR
Most likely scores
Market1-014%1-113%0-012%2-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-113%0-010%2-010%2-19%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-014%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-012%0-010%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals82%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%76%76%
12 – no draw72%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals66%68%68%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals62%59%59%
Both teams to score: no57%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%52%52%
1 – Corinthians win50%49% · Elo 47%49%· Elo 47%
Both teams to score: yes43%46%46%
Over 2.5 goals38%41%41%
Under 1.5 goals34%32%32%
X – draw29%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
2 – Athletico-PR win22%24% · Elo 25%24%· Elo 25%
Over 3.5 goals18%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Corinthians attack vs Athletico-PR defenceattack1467defence1499−32 pts to the attack
Athletico-PR attack vs Corinthians defenceattack1472defence1549−77 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Athletico-PR concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Athletico-PR: 4 wins in a row
  • Athletico-PR: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Athletico-PR: newly promoted
  • Corinthians: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Athletico-PR: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Athletico-PR30158749:3553
16Corinthians30881431:3832
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Corinthians vs Athletico-PR?

Corinthians 0-0 Athletico-PR (half time 0-0).

Did the Corinthians vs Athletico-PR tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.