Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 19

Sao Paulo 1-2 Athletico-PR: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganca Paulista
Referee:
Alex Gomes Stefano

The match in numbers

1X2EloSao Paulo169248%48%Draw29%27%Athletico-PR173224%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%49%O2.542%45%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sao Paulo2:1Athletico-PRW
  2. Athletico-PR1:2Sao PauloW
  3. Athletico-PR1:1Sao PauloD
  4. Sao Paulo2:1Athletico-PRW
  5. Athletico-PR1:0Sao PauloL
Sao Paulo's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.1under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.2under 5.5: 62%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 1
RefereeA. Gomes Stefano−0.9 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.9total 2.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Sao Paulo : Athletico-PR
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%0-010%2-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-09%2-010%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-012%1-012%0-00-010%0-09%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%77%77%
12 – no draw72%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals69%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals58%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%49%49%
Both teams to score: no53%52%52%
1 – Sao Paulo win48%51% · Elo 48%51%· Elo 48%
Both teams to score: yes47%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals42%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals31%29%29%
X – draw29%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
2 – Athletico-PR win24%23% · Elo 25%23%· Elo 25%
Over 3.5 goals22%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Sao Paulo attack vs Athletico-PR defenceattack1493defence1491+2 pts to the attack
Athletico-PR attack vs Sao Paulo defenceattack1460defence1523−63 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sao Paulo matches average 12.3 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Athletico-PR: newly promoted
  • Sao Paulo: 52 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Athletico-PR: 53 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Athletico-PR30158749:3553
10Sao Paulo301161335:3539
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Athletico-PR?

Sao Paulo 1-2 Athletico-PR (half time 1-0).