Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 17

Sao Paulo 1-1 Botafogo RJ: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Morumbí, Sao Paulo (attendance: 25,317)
Referee:
Lucas Casagrande

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost65%

our numbers: 4.8 cards against a league average of 5.2; referee Lucas Casagrande averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 5.2

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost49%

referee Lucas Casagrande averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 5.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%O2.552%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sao Paulo1:0Botafogo RJW
  2. Botafogo RJ2:2Sao PauloD
  3. Botafogo RJ2:1Sao PauloL
  4. Sao Paulo1:1Botafogo RJD
  5. Botafogo RJ0:0Sao PauloD
Sao Paulo's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.1under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.2under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 8
RefereeL. Casagrande−1.6 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Sao Paulo : Botafogo RJ
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%0-18%2-08%1-27%
Attack/defence1-11-112%1-01-010%2-12-19%0-10-18%2-02-08%1-21-27%
Attack vs defence
Sao Paulo attack vs Botafogo RJ defenceattack1504defence1514−10 pts to the attack
Botafogo RJ attack vs Sao Paulo defenceattack1592defence1521+71 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Botafogo RJ: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sao Paulo: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Sao Paulo: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Botafogo RJ: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Sao Paulo301161335:3539
13Botafogo RJ30991243:4836
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Botafogo RJ?

Sao Paulo 1-1 Botafogo RJ (half time 1-0).

Did the Sao Paulo vs Botafogo RJ tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.