Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 27

Zhejiang Professional 2-4 Shanghai SIPG: prediction, tips and result

Friday 9 October · 13:00

Zhejiang Professional

2-3 1-1 6-0 1-2 4-1

2-4Full time(half time 1-2)

Shanghai SIPG

0-0 1-0 2-1 1-1 3-2

Stadium:: Hangzhou Dragon Stadium, Hangzhou

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: 9 October 2026, 09:39. A published tip never changes.

Main tip

Total Goals: Over 2.5Won72%

our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.1

For the brave

Correct Score: 2:1Lost8%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloZhejiang Professional132039%30%Draw23%28%Shanghai SIPG146738%42%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS76%66%O2.577%65%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.7both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

15/05/202615/05/26Shanghai SIPG2:2Zhejiang ProfessionalD
31/10/202531/10/25Shanghai SIPG3:0Zhejiang ProfessionalL
14/06/202514/06/25Zhejiang Professional2:2Shanghai SIPGD
29/06/202429/06/24Shanghai SIPG3:1Zhejiang ProfessionalL
09/03/202409/03/24Zhejiang Professional0:0Shanghai SIPGD

Zhejiang Professional's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13

Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 7

Refereeawaiting appointment

Dutching(several bets at once)70%1X1:2coverageleague 78% · H2H 3/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market2.0 : 2.0total 4.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.7total 3.4

Zhejiang Professional : Shanghai SIPG

Most likely scores

Market1-18%1-27%2-17%2-27%0-1—1-0—3-25%Attack/defence1-110%1-28%2-18%2-27%0-16%1-06%3-2—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%1-21-27%1-28%2-12-17%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-16%1-01-0—1-06%3-23-25%3-2—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	92%85%	85%
12 – no draw	77%77%	77%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals	77%65%	65%
Both teams to score: yes	76%66%	66%
1X – home team avoid defeat	62%61%	61%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	61%62%	62%
Over 3.5 goals	57%43%	43%
Under 3.5 goals	43%57%	57%
1 – Zhejiang Professional win	39%38% · Elo 30%	38%· Elo 30%
2 – Shanghai SIPG win	38%39% · Elo 42%	39%· Elo 42%
Both teams to score: no	24%34%	34%
X – draw	23%23% · Elo 28%	23%· Elo 28%
Under 2.5 goals	23%35%	35%
Under 1.5 goals	8%15%	15%

Attack vs defence

Zhejiang Professional attack vs Shanghai SIPG defenceattack1589defence1578+11 pts to the attack

Shanghai SIPG attack vs Zhejiang Professional defenceattack1588defence1432+156 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Over 8.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over

We expect 9.3 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

7.570%60%

8.558%52%

9.545%42%

10.534%31%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Zhejiang Professionalwe expect 5.3, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 43%

Shanghai SIPGwe expect 4.3, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 60%

Foulsleague average

Under 23.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%

We expect 22.9 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

22.551%53%

23.544%45%

24.537%39%

25.531%32%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Zhejiang Professionalwe expect 11.3, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 45%

Shanghai SIPGwe expect 11.6, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 38%

Offsidesleague average

Over 3.5 · 67%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 33%over

We expect 4.6 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

2.583%59%

3.567%42%

4.548%27%

5.531%18%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Zhejiang Professionalwe expect 2.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 77%

Shanghai SIPGwe expect 1.9, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 54%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Zhejiang Professional score 2.4 goals per game
Zhejiang Professional: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
Zhejiang Professional: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
Shanghai SIPG: 34 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

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