Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2-1 Zhejiang Professional: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
TEDA Soccer Stadium, Tianjin
Referee:
Jing Wang

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost68%

under 4.5 cards in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches); 3.1 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.3 in the visitors', league average 4.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost50%

under 3.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (40% of league matches); 3.1 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.3 in the visitors', league average 4.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTianjin Jinmen Tiger133435%42%Draw26%28%Zhejiang Professional132039%30%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%60%O2.559%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Zhejiang Professional1:1Tianjin Jinmen TigerD
  2. Zhejiang Professional2:0Tianjin Jinmen TigerL
  3. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2:0Zhejiang ProfessionalW
  4. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger3:2Zhejiang ProfessionalW
  5. Zhejiang Professional3:2Tianjin Jinmen TigerL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.7league 4.1under 4.5: 68%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 7
RefereeJ. Wang−0.8 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.6total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger : Zhejiang Professional
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-18%1-29%1-0—2-0—0-16%2-26%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-07%0-16%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-0—1-08%2-02-0—2-07%0-10-16%0-16%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%80%80%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals63%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes62%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%69%69%
Over 2.5 goals59%58%58%
Under 2.5 goals41%42%42%
2 – Zhejiang Professional win39%31% · Elo 30%31%· Elo 30%
Both teams to score: no38%40%40%
Over 3.5 goals37%35%35%
1 – Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win35%44% · Elo 42%44%· Elo 42%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals18%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger attack vs Zhejiang Professional defenceattack1450defence1444+6 pts to the attack
Zhejiang Professional attack vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger defenceattack1579defence1542+37 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger score a lot late on: 17 of 31 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Zhejiang Professional: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Zhejiang Professional271061147:4731
12Tianjin Jinmen Tiger27108937:3228
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Zhejiang Professional?

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2-1 Zhejiang Professional (half time 1-1).

Did the Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Zhejiang Professional tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.