Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1-1 Qingdao West Coast: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
TEDA Soccer Stadium, Tianjin
Referee:
Haixin Li

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won58%

Qingdao West Coast: clean sheets in each of their last 5 league matches; our numbers: 2.4 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Lost59%

    10.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.5 in the visitors', league average 10.2

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won56%

    under 4.5 cards in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (57% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost31%

Qingdao West Coast: clean sheets in each of their last 5 league matches; our numbers: 2.4 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTianjin Jinmen Tiger133445%45%Draw30%28%Qingdao West Coast127425%27%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%47%O2.542%42%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Qingdao West Coast1:1Tianjin Jinmen TigerD
  2. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger0:0Qingdao West CoastD
  3. Qingdao West Coast2:2Tianjin Jinmen TigerD
  4. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2:1Qingdao West CoastW
  5. Qingdao West Coast1:3Tianjin Jinmen TigerW
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.2under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.1under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 3
RefereeH. Li+1.2 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.3
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger : Qingdao West Coast
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-011%2-09%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-013%0-010%2-09%2-19%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-012%1-013%0-00-011%0-010%2-02-09%2-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals79%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%74%74%
12 – no draw70%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals69%68%68%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals58%59%59%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%54%54%
Both teams to score: no53%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes47%47%47%
1 – Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win45%46% · Elo 45%46%· Elo 45%
Over 2.5 goals42%42%42%
Under 1.5 goals31%32%32%
X – draw30%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
2 – Qingdao West Coast win25%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals21%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger attack vs Qingdao West Coast defenceattack1450defence1544−94 pts to the attack
Qingdao West Coast attack vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger defenceattack1395defence1548−153 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger matches average only 2.9 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Qingdao West Coast: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger score a lot late on: 16 of 32 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Qingdao West Coast: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Qingdao West Coast27814531:3638
12Tianjin Jinmen Tiger27108937:3228
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Qingdao West Coast?

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1-1 Qingdao West Coast (half time 0-1).

Did the Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Qingdao West Coast tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.