1. LigaMatchday 7

Hradec Kralove 2-1 Sparta Prague: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Malsovicka arena, Hradec Kralove
Referee:
Marek Radina

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost67%

3.4 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.7 in the visitors', league average 4.1; under 4.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (62% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost49%

3.4 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.7 in the visitors', league average 4.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHradec Kralove161430%34%Draw26%28%Sparta Prague176144%38%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%53%O2.556%48%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sparta Prague2:1Hradec KraloveL
  2. Sparta Prague2:0Hradec KraloveL
  3. Hradec Kralove2:1Sparta PragueW
  4. Sparta Prague3:0Hradec KraloveL
  5. Hradec Kralove0:2Sparta PragueL
Hradec Kralove's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.8over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 16
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 7
RefereeM. Radina−0.3 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.6total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.6
Hradec Kralove : Sparta Prague
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-18%1-29%1-0—2-17%0-0—0-27%Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-28%1-09%2-18%0-08%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-18%0-110%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-17%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%0-20-27%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%73%73%
12 – no draw74%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat70%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals66%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes59%53%53%
1X – home team avoid defeat56%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals56%48%48%
2 – Sparta Prague win44%39% · Elo 38%39%· Elo 38%
Under 2.5 goals44%52%52%
Both teams to score: no41%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals34%27%27%
1 – Hradec Kralove win30%34% · Elo 34%34%· Elo 34%
X – draw26%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals20%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Hradec Kralove attack vs Sparta Prague defenceattack1478defence1576−98 pts to the attack
Sparta Prague attack vs Hradec Kralove defenceattack1643defence1550+93 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Hradec Kralove matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Hradec Kralove: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sparta Prague: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Sparta Prague1060420:1218
9Hradec Kralove1042410:1314
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Hradec Kralove vs Sparta Prague?

Hradec Kralove 2-1 Sparta Prague (half time 2-1).

Did the Hradec Kralove vs Sparta Prague tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.