1. LigaMatchday 9

Jablonec 1-1 Zlin: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec
Referee:
Pavel Orel

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: JablonecLost62%

Zlin: winless in their last 8 league matches; Jablonec: won 3 of their last 4 league matches at home

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won65%

    under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 8 (63% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloJablonec163062%66%Draw23%20%Zlin142415%14%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%51%O2.548%54%|exp. goals 1.9 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Zlin0:3JablonecW
  2. Jablonec1:3ZlinL
  3. Jablonec1:0ZlinW
  4. Jablonec0:0ZlinD
  5. Zlin1:1JablonecD
Jablonec's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 2
RefereeP. Orel−0.4 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.8total 2.6Attack/defence1.9 : 0.9total 2.8
Jablonec : Zlin
Most likely scores
Market1-013%2-012%1-111%2-110%0-08%3-0—3-1—Attack/defence1-011%2-011%1-111%2-110%0-0—3-07%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-011%2-02-012%2-011%1-11-111%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-08%0-0—3-03-0—3-07%3-13-1—3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat85%83%83%
12 – no draw77%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals74%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals73%69%69%
Our tip: 1 – Jablonec win62%60% · Elo 66%60%· Elo 66%
Both teams to score: no54%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals52%47%47%
Over 2.5 goals48%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes46%51%51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat38%40%40%
Over 3.5 goals27%31%31%
Under 1.5 goals26%23%23%
X – draw23%23% · Elo 20%23%· Elo 20%
2 – Zlin win15%17% · Elo 14%17%· Elo 14%
Attack vs defence
Jablonec attack vs Zlin defenceattack1529defence1397+132 pts to the attack
Zlin attack vs Jablonec defenceattack1403defence1519−116 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Zlin concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Zlin: 8 defeats in a row
  • Zlin: only 3 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 9 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Jablonec: 8 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Zlin: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Jablonec1052312:917
16Zlin100198:201
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Jablonec vs Zlin?

Jablonec 1-1 Zlin (half time 0-1).

Did the Jablonec vs Zlin tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Jablonec. The tip lost.