1. LigaMatchday 8

Sparta Prague 2-0 Jablonec: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
epet ARENA, Prague
Referee:
Stanislav Volek

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost57%

over 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 7 (52% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSparta Prague176160%53%Draw22%26%Jablonec163018%22%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%56%O2.557%56%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sparta Prague2:0JablonecW
  2. Sparta Prague3:1JablonecW
  3. Jablonec1:1Sparta PragueD
  4. Sparta Prague1:3JablonecL
  5. Sparta Prague2:1JablonecW
Sparta Prague's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 4
RefereeS. Volek−0.2 cards vs average36 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.0total 3.0Attack/defence1.9 : 1.1total 3.0
Sparta Prague : Jablonec
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-010%2-110%1-010%3-07%3-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-09%2-110%1-010%3-06%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-010%1-010%3-03-07%3-06%3-13-1—3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%79%79%
Over 1.5 goals80%79%79%
12 – no draw78%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals66%66%66%
1 – Sparta Prague win60%56% · Elo 53%56%· Elo 53%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals57%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes55%56%56%
Both teams to score: no45%44%44%
Under 2.5 goals43%44%44%
X2 – away team avoid defeat40%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals34%34%34%
X – draw22%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%21%21%
2 – Jablonec win18%21% · Elo 22%21%· Elo 22%
Attack vs defence
Sparta Prague attack vs Jablonec defenceattack1643defence1518+125 pts to the attack
Jablonec attack vs Sparta Prague defenceattack1535defence1572−37 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Jablonec played 3 days ago
  • Sparta Prague: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Sparta Prague1060420:1218
5Jablonec1052312:917
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sparta Prague vs Jablonec?

Sparta Prague 2-0 Jablonec (half time 1-0).

Did the Sparta Prague vs Jablonec tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.